Primera LPFMatchday 3

Lanus 0-1 Instituto: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Nazareno Arasa

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoWon63%

at least one side without a goal in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (58% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:0Lost16%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLanus163943%44%Draw33%30%Instituto163924%26%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%45%O2.529%40%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Instituto2:2LanusD
  2. Instituto0:0LanusD
  3. Lanus4:1InstitutoW
  4. Lanus2:0InstitutoW
  5. Instituto2:1LanusL
Lanus's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.6under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.2under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 4
RefereeN. Arasa+0.3 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.8total 1.9Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Lanus : Instituto
Most likely scores
Market0-016%1-016%1-114%0-111%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence0-011%1-014%1-113%0-19%2-010%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-016%0-011%1-01-016%1-014%1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-19%2-02-09%2-010%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals88%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%76%76%
Under 2.5 goals71%60%60%
12 – no draw67%72%72%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no63%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%53%53%
Over 1.5 goals57%67%67%
1 – Lanus win43%47% · Elo 44%47%· Elo 44%
Under 1.5 goals43%33%33%
Both teams to score: yes37%45%45%
X – draw33%28% · Elo 30%28%· Elo 30%
Over 2.5 goals29%40%40%
2 – Instituto win24%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals12%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Lanus attack vs Instituto defenceattack1520defence1472+48 pts to the attack
Instituto attack vs Lanus defenceattack1501defence1519−18 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lanus: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Instituto: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Lanus concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Lanus: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Instituto: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Instituto1282219:1026
5Lanus1262415:920
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lanus vs Instituto?

Lanus 0-1 Instituto (half time 0-0).

Did the Lanus vs Instituto tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip won.