Primera LPFMatchday 2

Instituto 2-1 Platense: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Referee:
Luis Lobo Medina

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost68%

under 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (68% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost16%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloInstituto163945%39%Draw32%31%Platense158123%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%43%O2.532%37%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Platense2:1InstitutoL
  2. Instituto1:1PlatenseD
  3. Platense1:0InstitutoL
  4. Instituto2:0PlatenseW
  5. Platense1:0InstitutoL
Instituto's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.6over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.2under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeL. Lobo Medina+0.2 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.8total 2.0Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.2
Instituto : Platense
Most likely scores
Market1-016%0-015%1-114%2-010%0-110%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%0-012%1-113%2-09%0-110%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-014%0-00-015%0-012%1-11-114%1-113%2-02-010%2-09%0-10-110%0-110%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%75%75%
12 – no draw68%71%71%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals68%63%63%
Both teams to score: no61%57%57%
Over 1.5 goals60%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%55%55%
1 – Instituto win45%45% · Elo 39%45%· Elo 39%
Under 1.5 goals40%36%36%
Both teams to score: yes39%43%43%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals32%37%37%
2 – Platense win23%25% · Elo 30%25%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals14%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Instituto attack vs Platense defenceattack1497defence1486+11 pts to the attack
Platense attack vs Instituto defenceattack1445defence1476−31 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Instituto: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Platense: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Platense score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Platense: no win in 11 matches
  • Platense: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Instituto: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Platense: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Instituto1282219:1026
13Platense1225512:1811
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Instituto vs Platense?

Instituto 2-1 Platense (half time 1-0).

Did the Instituto vs Platense tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.