Primera LPFMatchday 5

Belgrano 2-0 Ind. Rivadavia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
Referee:
Nazareno Arasa

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won59%

under 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: NoWon60%

    at least one side without a goal in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost43%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBelgrano168553%34%Draw29%31%Ind. Rivadavia170219%35%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%46%O2.536%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Ind. Rivadavia0:1BelgranoW
  2. Ind. Rivadavia0:0BelgranoD
  3. Belgrano0:3Ind. RivadaviaL
  4. Belgrano0:2Ind. RivadaviaL
Belgrano's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses1.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.6over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 59%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 5
RefereeN. Arasa+0.3 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.7total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Belgrano : Ind. Rivadavia
Most likely scores
Market1-016%1-113%0-013%2-012%0-1—2-19%Attack/defence1-013%1-114%0-011%2-08%0-110%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-013%1-11-113%1-114%0-00-013%0-011%2-02-012%2-08%0-10-1—0-110%2-12-19%2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals83%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%71%71%
12 – no draw72%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals64%66%66%
Under 2.5 goals64%60%60%
Both teams to score: no60%54%54%
1 – Belgrano win53%43% · Elo 34%43%· Elo 34%
X2 – away team avoid defeat48%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes40%46%46%
Under 1.5 goals36%34%34%
Over 2.5 goals36%40%40%
X – draw29%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
2 – Ind. Rivadavia win19%29% · Elo 35%29%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals17%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Belgrano attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1504defence1493+11 pts to the attack
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Belgrano defenceattack1553defence1520+33 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Belgrano concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Belgrano: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Belgrano: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Ind. Rivadavia: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Belgrano1264214:722
8Ind. Rivadavia1253415:1918
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Belgrano vs Ind. Rivadavia?

Belgrano 2-0 Ind. Rivadavia (half time 1-0).

Did the Belgrano vs Ind. Rivadavia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.