Primera LPFMatchday 4

Banfield 0-2 Belgrano: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Sebastian Nicolas Martinez

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won57%

under 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won41%

under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBanfield154632%31%Draw32%31%Belgrano168537%38%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%46%O2.535%39%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Belgrano1:0BanfieldL
  2. Belgrano2:1BanfieldL
  3. Banfield1:1BelgranoD
  4. Banfield1:1BelgranoD
  5. Belgrano3:1BanfieldL
Banfield's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.6under 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 4
RefereeS. Nicolas Martinez+0.8 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.1total 2.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Banfield : Belgrano
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%0-113%1-011%2-1—2-0—0-27%Attack/defence1-114%0-011%0-111%1-012%2-18%2-07%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-013%0-011%0-10-113%0-111%1-01-011%1-012%2-12-1—2-18%2-02-0—2-07%0-20-27%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals84%81%81%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%62%62%
12 – no draw69%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals65%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%68%68%
Over 1.5 goals63%66%66%
Both teams to score: no57%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes43%46%46%
2 – Belgrano win37%32% · Elo 38%32%· Elo 38%
Under 1.5 goals37%34%34%
Over 2.5 goals35%39%39%
1 – Banfield win32%38% · Elo 31%38%· Elo 31%
X – draw32%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals16%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Banfield attack vs Belgrano defenceattack1477defence1508−31 pts to the attack
Belgrano attack vs Banfield defenceattack1496defence1425+71 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Banfield matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Belgrano concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Banfield: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Belgrano: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Belgrano1264214:722
11Banfield1234514:1813
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Banfield vs Belgrano?

Banfield 0-2 Belgrano (half time 0-0).

Did the Banfield vs Belgrano tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.