Primera LPFMatchday 3
Sarmiento Junin 2-1 Ind. Rivadavia: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
- Referee:
- Pablo Echavarria
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won65%
4.9 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.3 in the visitors', league average 5.2
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won48%
under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%46%O2.535%39%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Ind. Rivadavia2:1Sarmiento JuninL
- Sarmiento Junin0:1Ind. RivadaviaL
Sarmiento Junin's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners8.7league 8.6over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.2under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 2
RefereeP. Echavarria−0.6 cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.2total 2.1Attack/defence1.1 : 1.1total 2.3
Sarmiento Junin : Ind. RivadaviaMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-113%0-013%1-010%0-28%1-2—2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-112%0-011%1-011%0-2—1-28%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-10-113%0-112%0-00-013%0-011%1-01-010%1-011%0-20-28%0-2—1-21-2—1-28%2-12-1—2-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%81% | 81% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%65% | 65% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65%61% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Ind. Rivadavia win | 40%36% · Elo 50% | 36%· Elo 50% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37%34% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35%39% | 39% |
| X – draw | 32%30% · Elo 28% | 30%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Sarmiento Junin win | 28%35% · Elo 21% | 35%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1431defence1497−66 pts to the attack
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1545defence1440+105 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ind. Rivadavia: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sarmiento Junin: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Ind. Rivadavia: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:19 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sarmiento Junin vs Ind. Rivadavia?
Sarmiento Junin 2-1 Ind. Rivadavia (half time 2-1).
Did the Sarmiento Junin vs Ind. Rivadavia tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.