Primera LPFMatchday 4

Ind. Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: prediction, tips and result

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Ind. Rivadavia
1-11-20-02-11-2
2-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0-00-31-00-21-2
Stadium:
Estadio Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza
Referee:
Gonzalo Pereira

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won63%

under 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches); 3.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1

Other tips

  • Match Result: Ind. RivadaviaWon64%

    Ind. Rivadavia: won 6 of their last 10 league matches at home

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won47%

under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches); 3.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloInd. Rivadavia170264%65%Draw23%22%Estudiantes Rio Cuarto147813%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%42%O2.540%41%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0:1Ind. RivadaviaW
Ind. Rivadavia's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.6over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 4
RefereeG. Pereirafirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.6total 2.3Attack/defence1.6 : 0.8total 2.3
Ind. Rivadavia : Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Most likely scores
Market1-016%2-015%1-111%0-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-015%2-012%1-112%0-010%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-015%2-02-015%2-012%1-11-111%1-112%0-00-011%0-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%82%82%
Under 3.5 goals80%80%80%
12 – no draw77%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals68%67%67%
1 – Ind. Rivadavia win64%56% · Elo 65%56%· Elo 65%
Both teams to score: no62%58%58%
Under 2.5 goals60%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals40%41%41%
Both teams to score: yes38%42%42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%44%44%
Under 1.5 goals32%33%33%
X – draw23%26% · Elo 22%26%· Elo 22%
Over 3.5 goals20%20%20%
2 – Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win13%18% · Elo 13%18%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto defenceattack1547defence1424+123 pts to the attack
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1373defence1494−121 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Ind. Rivadavia matches average only 3.8 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto score only 0.3 goals per game
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: newly promoted
  • Ind. Rivadavia: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Ind. Rivadavia

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Ind. Rivadavia1253415:1918
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121386:166
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ind. Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Ind. Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto (half time 0-0).

Did the Ind. Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.

See also