Primera LPFMatchday 4

San Lorenzo 0-2 Huracan: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Dario Herrera

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won75%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost48%

under 1.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSan Lorenzo158534%38%Draw35%31%Huracan164131%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS34%35%O2.525%27%|exp. goals 1.0 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Huracan1:0San LorenzoL
  2. San Lorenzo0:0HuracanD
  3. Huracan2:0San LorenzoL
  4. San Lorenzo1:1HuracanD
  5. Huracan1:1San LorenzoD
San Lorenzo's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.6over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.5league 5.1under 5.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 38%.lost · ended 6
RefereeD. Herrera+0.9 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 0.8total 1.7Attack/defence1.0 : 0.8total 1.8
San Lorenzo : Huracan
Most likely scores
Market0-019%1-015%1-114%0-114%2-07%2-1—Attack/defence0-017%1-016%1-114%0-113%2-08%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-019%0-017%1-01-015%1-016%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-114%0-113%2-02-07%2-08%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals90%89%89%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals75%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%72%72%
Both teams to score: no66%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%62%62%
12 – no draw65%67%67%
Over 1.5 goals52%53%53%
Under 1.5 goals48%47%47%
X – draw35%34% · Elo 31%34%· Elo 31%
1 – San Lorenzo win34%38% · Elo 38%38%· Elo 38%
Both teams to score: yes34%35%35%
2 – Huracan win31%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals25%27%27%
Over 3.5 goals10%11%11%
Attack vs defence
San Lorenzo attack vs Huracan defenceattack1443defence1569−126 pts to the attack
Huracan attack vs San Lorenzo defenceattack1464defence1548−84 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • San Lorenzo: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • San Lorenzo concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • San Lorenzo score only 0.6 goals per game
  • San Lorenzo score a lot late on: 7 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • San Lorenzo: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Huracan: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10San LorenzoClausura, Group A124265:1114
5HuracanClausura, Group B1254311:1019
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of San Lorenzo vs Huracan?

San Lorenzo 0-2 Huracan (half time 0-1).

Did the San Lorenzo vs Huracan tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.