Primera LPFMatchday 2

San Lorenzo 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Fernando Echenique

The match in numbers

1X2EloSan Lorenzo158550%44%Draw29%30%Gimnasia Mendoza160921%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%38%O2.536%32%|exp. goals 1.2 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Gimnasia Mendoza0:1San LorenzoW
San Lorenzo's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.4league 8.6under 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.4 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.3under 5.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Echenique+0.2 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.8total 2.2Attack/defence1.2 : 0.8total 2.0
San Lorenzo : Gimnasia Mendoza
Most likely scores
Market1-015%0-013%1-113%2-011%0-1—2-19%Attack/defence1-016%0-014%1-113%2-010%0-110%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-016%0-00-013%0-014%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-011%2-010%0-10-1—0-110%2-12-19%2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals83%86%86%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%78%78%
12 – no draw71%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals64%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals64%68%68%
Both teams to score: no59%62%62%
1 – San Lorenzo win50%47% · Elo 44%47%· Elo 44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes41%38%38%
Under 1.5 goals36%41%41%
Over 2.5 goals36%32%32%
X – draw29%30% · Elo 30%30%· Elo 30%
2 – Gimnasia Mendoza win21%22% · Elo 26%22%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals17%14%14%
Attack vs defence
San Lorenzo attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1445defence1450−5 pts to the attack
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs San Lorenzo defenceattack1435defence1549−114 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • San Lorenzo: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
  • San Lorenzo played 3 days ago
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Gimnasia Mendoza1262415:1220
10San Lorenzo124265:1114
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

San Lorenzo 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza (half time 0-0).