Primera LPFMatchday 5
San Lorenzo 1-0 Union de Santa Fe: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Leandro Rey Hilfer
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%45%O2.537%38%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Union de Santa Fe0:0San LorenzoD
- Union de Santa Fe2:1San LorenzoL
- San Lorenzo1:0Union de Santa FeW
- San Lorenzo2:2Union de Santa FeD
- Union de Santa Fe4:0San LorenzoL
San Lorenzo's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.6over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.1under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 5
RefereeL. Rey Hilfer−0.3 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.0total 2.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.0total 2.2
San Lorenzo : Union de Santa FeMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%1-012%0-111%2-17%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%0-012%1-013%0-111%2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-013%0-012%1-01-012%1-013%0-10-111%0-111%2-12-17%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%61% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65%65% | 65% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37%38% | 38% |
| 1 – San Lorenzo win | 36%39% · Elo 42% | 39%· Elo 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35%35% | 35% |
| 2 – Union de Santa Fe win | 33%31% · Elo 28% | 31%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 32%30% · Elo 31% | 30%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
San Lorenzo attack vs Union de Santa Fe defenceattack1434defence1466−32 pts to the attack
Union de Santa Fe attack vs San Lorenzo defenceattack1585defence1541+44 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- San Lorenzo: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- San Lorenzo score only 0.5 goals per game
- Union de Santa Fe: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- San Lorenzo score a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- San Lorenzo: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Union de Santa Fe: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of San Lorenzo vs Union de Santa Fe?
San Lorenzo 1-0 Union de Santa Fe (half time 0-0).