Primera LPFMatchday 3
Newells Old Boys 2-2 Boca Juniors: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
- Referee:
- Andres Merlos
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won67%
referee Andres Merlos averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 5.1
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%45%O2.536%39%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Boca Juniors2:0Newells Old BoysL
- Boca Juniors5:0Newells Old BoysL
- Newells Old Boys2:0Boca JuniorsW
- Newells Old Boys0:1Boca JuniorsL
- Boca Juniors2:1Newells Old BoysL
Newells Old Boys's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.6over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 67%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 5
RefereeA. Merlos−1.4 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.2total 2.1Attack/defence0.9 : 1.3total 2.3
Newells Old Boys : Boca JuniorsMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-114%0-013%1-010%0-29%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-114%0-011%1-09%0-29%1-29%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-114%0-114%0-00-013%0-011%1-01-010%1-09%0-20-29%0-29%1-21-2—1-29%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 75%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%66% | 66% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%55% | 55% |
| 2 – Boca Juniors win | 44%46% · Elo 43% | 46%· Elo 43% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%45% | 45% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%34% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%39% | 39% |
| X – draw | 31%29% · Elo 30% | 29%· Elo 30% |
| 1 – Newells Old Boys win | 26%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Newells Old Boys attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1447defence1618−171 pts to the attack
Boca Juniors attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1617defence1422+195 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Newells Old Boys: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 9 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Newells Old Boys played 3 days ago
- Boca Juniors: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors?
Newells Old Boys 2-2 Boca Juniors (half time 0-1).
Did the Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.