Primera LPFMatchday 1

Dep. Riestra 3-0 Boca Juniors: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Guillermo Laza, Flores
Referee:
Hernan Mastrangelo

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost74%

under 2.5 goals in 10 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (68% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:1Lost19%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDep. Riestra155018%24%Draw32%29%Boca Juniors175750%47%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS31%38%O2.526%31%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Boca Juniors1:0Dep. RiestraL
  2. Boca Juniors1:1Dep. RiestraD
Dep. Riestra's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.5under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.3under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeH. Mastrangelo−0.6 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.6 : 1.2total 1.8Attack/defence0.9 : 1.1total 1.9
Dep. Riestra : Boca Juniors
Most likely scores
Market0-119%0-018%1-113%1-09%0-212%1-2—Attack/defence0-115%0-015%1-114%1-012%0-28%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-119%0-115%0-00-018%0-015%1-11-113%1-114%1-01-09%1-012%0-20-212%0-28%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals90%87%87%
X2 – away team avoid defeat82%71%71%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals74%70%70%
Both teams to score: no69%62%62%
12 – no draw68%68%68%
Over 1.5 goals53%58%58%
2 – Boca Juniors win50%39% · Elo 47%39%· Elo 47%
1X – home team avoid defeat50%61%61%
Under 1.5 goals47%42%42%
X – draw32%32% · Elo 29%32%· Elo 29%
Both teams to score: yes31%38%38%
Over 2.5 goals26%31%31%
1 – Dep. Riestra win18%29% · Elo 24%29%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals10%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Dep. Riestra attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1423defence1625−202 pts to the attack
Boca Juniors attack vs Dep. Riestra defenceattack1624defence1553+71 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dep. Riestra: only 0 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Dep. Riestra score only 0.3 goals per game
  • Boca Juniors concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Boca Juniors: unbeaten in 13 matches
  • Boca Juniors: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Dep. Riestra: 85 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Boca Juniors: 78 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Boca Juniors1256119:1321
12Dep. Riestra122559:1211
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dep. Riestra vs Boca Juniors?

Dep. Riestra 3-0 Boca Juniors (half time 3-0).

Did the Dep. Riestra vs Boca Juniors tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.