Primera LPFMatchday 2

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Dep. Riestra: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Referee:
Bruno Amiconi

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost70%

Dep. Riestra: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches; under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Lost59%

    under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost42%

Dep. Riestra: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDefensa y Justicia161741%39%Draw33%31%Dep. Riestra155026%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%43%O2.530%36%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Dep. Riestra0:1Defensa y JusticiaW
  2. Defensa y Justicia1:0Dep. RiestraW
  3. Dep. Riestra1:1Defensa y JusticiaD
  4. Defensa y Justicia1:1Dep. RiestraD
Defensa y Justicia's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses1.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.6under 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.2under 5.5: 59%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 6
RefereeB. Amiconi+0.2 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.8total 1.9Attack/defence1.2 : 1.0total 2.1
Defensa y Justicia : Dep. Riestra
Most likely scores
Market0-015%1-015%1-114%0-111%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence0-013%1-014%1-114%0-111%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-015%0-013%1-01-015%1-014%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-111%0-111%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals87%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%70%70%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals70%65%65%
12 – no draw67%70%70%
Both teams to score: no62%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%60%60%
Over 1.5 goals58%63%63%
Under 1.5 goals42%37%37%
1 – Defensa y Justicia win41%40% · Elo 39%40%· Elo 39%
Both teams to score: yes38%43%43%
X – draw33%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals30%36%36%
2 – Dep. Riestra win26%30% · Elo 30%30%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals13%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Dep. Riestra defenceattack1517defence1561−44 pts to the attack
Dep. Riestra attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1430defence1419+11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dep. Riestra: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Dep. Riestra score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Defensa y Justicia concede a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Dep. Riestra played 3 days ago
  • Defensa y Justicia: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Defensa y Justicia1273218:1124
12Dep. Riestra122559:1211
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Defensa y Justicia vs Dep. Riestra?

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Dep. Riestra (half time 2-0).

Did the Defensa y Justicia vs Dep. Riestra tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.