Primera LPFMatchday 3

Estudiantes L.P. 3-0 Defensa y Justicia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Referee:
Sebastian Nicolas Martinez

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost64%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost36%

under 1.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEstudiantes L.P.170657%56%Draw27%26%Defensa y Justicia161716%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%48%O2.536%45%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Defensa y Justicia0:0Estudiantes L.P.D
  2. Estudiantes L.P.1:0Defensa y JusticiaW
  3. Defensa y Justicia1:0Estudiantes L.P.L
  4. Estudiantes L.P.1:0Defensa y JusticiaW
  5. Defensa y Justicia1:1Estudiantes L.P.D
Estudiantes L.P.'s record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.6over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.5league 5.2under 5.5: 53%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 3
RefereeS. Nicolas Martinez+1.1 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.7total 2.2Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Estudiantes L.P. : Defensa y Justicia
Most likely scores
Market1-017%2-013%0-013%1-112%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%2-010%0-09%1-112%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-017%1-013%2-02-013%2-010%0-00-013%0-09%1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat84%79%79%
Under 3.5 goals83%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals64%71%71%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals64%55%55%
Both teams to score: no62%52%52%
1 – Estudiantes L.P. win57%52% · Elo 56%52%· Elo 56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes38%48%48%
Under 1.5 goals36%29%29%
Over 2.5 goals36%45%45%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals17%24%24%
2 – Defensa y Justicia win16%22% · Elo 18%22%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1536defence1412+124 pts to the attack
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1521defence1538−17 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Defensa y Justicia played 3 days ago
  • Estudiantes L.P.: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Defensa y Justicia1273218:1124
9Estudiantes L.P.1242615:1314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa y Justicia?

Estudiantes L.P. 3-0 Defensa y Justicia (half time 3-0).

Did the Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa y Justicia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.