Primera LPFMatchday 5
Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Defensa y Justicia: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Nicolas Ramirez
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%48%O2.541%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Defensa y Justicia1:1Velez SarsfieldD
- Velez Sarsfield3:0Defensa y JusticiaW
- Defensa y Justicia0:0Velez SarsfieldD
- Defensa y Justicia1:1Velez SarsfieldD
- Velez Sarsfield0:0Defensa y JusticiaD
Velez Sarsfield's record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.7under 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 7
RefereeN. Ramirez+0.8 cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Velez Sarsfield : Defensa y JusticiaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-013%0-011%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-013%0-09%2-010%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-013%1-013%0-00-011%0-09%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Velez Sarsfield win | 50%52% · Elo 56% | 52%· Elo 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%46% | 46% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 28%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Defensa y Justicia win | 22%22% · Elo 18% | 22%· Elo 18% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Velez Sarsfield attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1530defence1406+124 pts to the attack
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1524defence1530−6 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa y Justicia?
Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Defensa y Justicia (half time 1-0).