Primera LPFMatchday 4
Boca Juniors 1-1 Velez Sarsfield: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Alberto Jose Armando, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Yael Falcon Perez
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%43%O2.534%40%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Velez Sarsfield2:1Boca JuniorsL
- Boca Juniors1:0Velez SarsfieldW
- Velez Sarsfield1:2Boca JuniorsW
- Boca Juniors1:0Velez SarsfieldW
- Velez Sarsfield2:0Boca JuniorsL
Boca Juniors's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.6over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 6
RefereeY. Falcon Perez+0.6 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.7total 2.0Attack/defence1.5 : 0.8total 2.3
Boca Juniors : Velez SarsfieldMost likely scores
Market1-016%0-014%1-113%2-011%2-1—0-18%Attack/defence1-015%0-011%1-113%2-011%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-015%0-00-014%0-011%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-011%2-011%2-12-1—2-19%0-10-18%0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 85%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66%60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: no | 61%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Boca Juniors win | 51%53% · Elo 43% | 53%· Elo 43% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39%43% | 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38%34% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 30%27% · Elo 30% | 27%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Velez Sarsfield win | 20%20% · Elo 27% | 20%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Boca Juniors attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1615defence1527+88 pts to the attack
Velez Sarsfield attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1532defence1621−89 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Boca Juniors played 3 days ago
- Velez Sarsfield: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?
Boca Juniors 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (half time 1-1).