Primera LPFMatchday 5

Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 Talleres Cordoba: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Referee:
Andres Gariano

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost65%

referee Andres Gariano averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost49%

referee Andres Gariano averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGimnasia Mendoza160930%39%Draw33%31%Talleres Cordoba157437%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%43%O2.534%35%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Talleres Cordoba2:1Gimnasia MendozaL
Gimnasia Mendoza's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.7over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 9
RefereeA. Gariano−1.0 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.1total 2.1Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Gimnasia Mendoza : Talleres Cordoba
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-014%1-011%0-113%0-28%2-0—2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-013%1-013%0-112%0-2—2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-014%0-013%1-01-011%1-013%0-10-113%0-112%0-20-28%0-2—2-02-0—2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals85%84%84%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%63%63%
12 – no draw67%69%69%
Under 2.5 goals66%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%68%68%
Over 1.5 goals62%62%62%
Both teams to score: no58%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes42%43%43%
Under 1.5 goals38%38%38%
2 – Talleres Cordoba win37%32% · Elo 30%32%· Elo 30%
Over 2.5 goals34%35%35%
X – draw33%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
1 – Gimnasia Mendoza win30%38% · Elo 39%38%· Elo 39%
Over 3.5 goals15%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Talleres Cordoba defenceattack1438defence1506−68 pts to the attack
Talleres Cordoba attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1487defence1454+33 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Talleres Cordoba concede a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Talleres Cordoba: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Gimnasia Mendoza1262415:1220
15Talleres Cordoba1223711:189
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Talleres Cordoba?

Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 Talleres Cordoba (half time 2-0).

Did the Gimnasia Mendoza vs Talleres Cordoba tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.