Primera LPFMatchday 4

Instituto 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Referee:
Sebastian Zunino

The match in numbers

1X2EloInstituto163959%41%Draw27%31%Gimnasia Mendoza160914%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%44%O2.536%39%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Gimnasia Mendoza1:0InstitutoL
Instituto's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.6over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.6league 5.1under 5.5: 51%Expected cards: 5.6 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.lost · ended 9
RefereeS. Zunino+1.3 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.6total 2.1Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Instituto : Gimnasia Mendoza
Most likely scores
Market1-017%2-014%1-112%0-013%0-1—2-18%Attack/defence1-014%2-010%1-113%0-011%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-017%1-014%2-02-014%2-010%1-11-112%1-113%0-00-013%0-011%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-18%2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals83%81%81%
12 – no draw73%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals64%66%66%
Under 2.5 goals64%61%61%
Both teams to score: no63%56%56%
1 – Instituto win59%48% · Elo 41%48%· Elo 41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes37%44%44%
Under 1.5 goals36%34%34%
Over 2.5 goals36%39%39%
X – draw27%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals17%19%19%
2 – Gimnasia Mendoza win14%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Attack vs defence
Instituto attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1505defence1455+50 pts to the attack
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Instituto defenceattack1445defence1479−34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Instituto: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Instituto: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
  • Instituto: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Instituto1282219:1026
6Gimnasia Mendoza1262415:1220
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Instituto vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Instituto 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza (half time 0-0).