Primera LPFMatchday 6
Belgrano 1-2 Defensa y Justicia: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
- Referee:
- Fernando Espinoza
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost60%
Belgrano: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Won60%
under 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches)
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost33%
Belgrano: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%48%O2.540%44%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Defensa y Justicia1:1BelgranoD
- Defensa y Justicia2:1BelgranoL
- Belgrano2:0Defensa y JusticiaW
- Belgrano1:2Defensa y JusticiaL
- Defensa y Justicia2:0BelgranoL
Belgrano's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.7over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Espinoza+0.1 cards vs average5 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.8total 2.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Belgrano : Defensa y JusticiaMost likely scores
Market1-014%1-113%0-011%2-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%0-09%2-010%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-011%0-09%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%70% | 70% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 60%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Belgrano win | 52%50% · Elo 53% | 50%· Elo 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%44% | 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Defensa y Justicia win | 20%24% · Elo 19% | 24%· Elo 19% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Belgrano attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1508defence1412+96 pts to the attack
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Belgrano defenceattack1529defence1526+3 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Defensa y Justicia concede 2.0 goals per game
- Belgrano concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Belgrano: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Belgrano: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Defensa y Justicia: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BelgranoClausura, Group B | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y JusticiaClausura, Group A | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Belgrano vs Defensa y Justicia?
Belgrano 1-2 Defensa y Justicia (half time 0-1).
Did the Belgrano vs Defensa y Justicia tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.