Primera LPFMatchday 7

Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Platense: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Referee:
Juan Pablo Loustau

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost65%

under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDefensa y Justicia161737%40%Draw32%31%Platense158130%29%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%49%O2.536%44%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Platense0:0Defensa y JusticiaD
  2. Defensa y Justicia1:2PlatenseL
  3. Platense0:1Defensa y JusticiaW
  4. Defensa y Justicia1:3PlatenseL
  5. Platense1:0Defensa y JusticiaL
Defensa y Justicia's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.7over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 7
RefereeJ. Pablo Loustau−1.2 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.0total 2.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.5
Defensa y Justicia : Platense
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%1-012%0-111%2-1—2-08%Attack/defence1-113%0-09%1-012%0-19%2-19%2-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-013%0-09%1-01-012%1-012%0-10-111%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%2-02-08%2-09%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals83%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%73%73%
12 – no draw67%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals64%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals64%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%54%54%
Both teams to score: no56%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes44%49%49%
1 – Defensa y Justicia win37%46% · Elo 40%46%· Elo 40%
Under 1.5 goals36%30%30%
Over 2.5 goals36%44%44%
X – draw32%27% · Elo 31%27%· Elo 31%
2 – Platense win30%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals17%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Platense defenceattack1531defence1472+59 pts to the attack
Platense attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1461defence1419+42 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Defensa y Justicia: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Platense score a lot late on: 7 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Defensa y Justicia: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Platense: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Defensa y Justicia1273218:1124
13Platense1225512:1811
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Defensa y Justicia vs Platense?

Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Platense (half time 0-0).

Did the Defensa y Justicia vs Platense tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.