Primera LPFMatchday 5

Platense 1-1 Boca Juniors: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Florida
Referee:
Jorge Balino

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won66%

under 5.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches); referee Jorge Balino averages 3.2 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:1Lost17%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPlatense158119%28%Draw31%31%Boca Juniors175751%42%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%43%O2.532%36%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Boca Juniors0:0PlatenseD
  2. Platense1:0Boca JuniorsW
  3. Boca Juniors3:1PlatenseL
  4. Boca Juniors2:1PlatenseL
  5. Platense1:3Boca JuniorsL
Platense's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.6under 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 66%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Balino−1.7 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.7 : 1.3total 2.0Attack/defence0.9 : 1.2total 2.1
Platense : Boca Juniors
Most likely scores
Market0-117%0-015%1-113%0-212%1-08%1-2—Attack/defence0-114%0-012%1-114%0-29%1-011%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-117%0-114%0-00-015%0-012%1-11-113%1-114%0-20-212%0-29%1-01-08%1-011%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%83%83%
X2 – away team avoid defeat82%73%73%
12 – no draw70%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals68%64%64%
Both teams to score: no63%57%57%
Over 1.5 goals60%63%63%
2 – Boca Juniors win51%43% · Elo 42%43%· Elo 42%
1X – home team avoid defeat50%57%57%
Under 1.5 goals40%37%37%
Both teams to score: yes37%43%43%
Over 2.5 goals32%36%36%
X – draw31%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
1 – Platense win19%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals14%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Platense attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1448defence1623−175 pts to the attack
Boca Juniors attack vs Platense defenceattack1611defence1470+141 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Platense: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Platense: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Boca Juniors: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Boca Juniors1256119:1321
13Platense1225512:1811
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Platense vs Boca Juniors?

Platense 1-1 Boca Juniors (half time 0-0).

Did the Platense vs Boca Juniors tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.