Primera LPFMatchday 6

Barracas Central 1-2 Platense: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 23 August · 18:45

Barracas Central

1-0 1-0 1-0 0-2 0-1

1-2Full time(half time 1-0)

Platense

1-1 1-0 0-4 1-2 2-2

Stadium:: Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Barracas
Referee:: Hernan Mastrangelo

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 5.5Won64%

under 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches); 4.0 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1

Other tips

Both Teams To Score: NoLost65%
at least one side without a goal in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

For the brave

Cards: Under 4.5Lost48%

under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches); 4.0 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBarracas Central157635%40%Draw35%31%Platense158130%30%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS35%43%O2.525%37%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9both scored

H2Hlast 4 meetings

21/02/202621/02/26Platense1:0Barracas CentralL
16/08/202416/08/24Platense0:0Barracas CentralD
11/04/202311/04/23Barracas Central1:0PlatenseW
31/07/202231/07/22Platense0:0Barracas CentralD

Barracas Central's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss0.5 goals per match

Cornersleague corners8.4league 8.7under 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 8.4 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 8

Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 5

RefereeH. Mastrangelo−0.2 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market0.9 : 0.8total 1.7Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.2

Barracas Central : Platense

Most likely scores

Market0-019%1-015%1-114%0-114%2-07%2-1—Attack/defence0-012%1-014%1-114%0-110%2-09%2-18%

MarketAttack/defence0-00-019%0-012%1-01-015%1-014%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-114%0-110%2-02-07%2-09%2-12-1—2-18%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Under 3.5 goals	90%83%	83%
Under 2.5 goals	75%63%	63%
1X – home team avoid defeat	70%74%	74%
Both teams to score: no	65%57%	57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	65%56%	56%
12 – no draw	65%70%	70%
Over 1.5 goals	53%64%	64%
Under 1.5 goals	47%36%	36%
1 – Barracas Central win	35%44% · Elo 40%	44%· Elo 40%
X – draw	35%30% · Elo 31%	30%· Elo 31%
Both teams to score: yes	35%43%	43%
2 – Platense win	30%26% · Elo 30%	26%· Elo 30%
Over 2.5 goals	25%37%	37%
Over 3.5 goals	10%17%	17%

Attack vs defence

Barracas Central attack vs Platense defenceattack1470defence1469+1 pts to the attack

Platense attack vs Barracas Central defenceattack1453defence1472−19 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Barracas Central matches average only 6.5 corners (league 8.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
Platense: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Platense score a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Barracas Central: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Platense: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form