Primera LPFMatchday 8

Union de Santa Fe 3-2 Instituto: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz
Referee:
Nicolas Lamolina

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost65%

Instituto: clean sheets in each of their last 5 league matches

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost37%

Instituto: clean sheets in each of their last 5 league matches

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloUnion de Santa Fe157532%40%Draw32%31%Instituto163936%29%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%49%O2.535%45%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Instituto1:2Union de Santa FeW
  2. Instituto0:4Union de Santa FeW
  3. Union de Santa Fe0:0InstitutoD
  4. Instituto1:1Union de Santa FeD
  5. Union de Santa Fe0:2InstitutoL
Union de Santa Fe's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.7over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 7
RefereeN. Lamolina−0.5 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.1total 2.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Union de Santa Fe : Instituto
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%0-112%1-011%2-1—2-0—0-27%Attack/defence1-113%0-09%0-18%1-012%2-19%2-09%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-013%0-09%0-10-112%0-18%1-01-011%1-012%2-12-1—2-19%2-02-0—2-09%0-20-27%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals84%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%53%53%
12 – no draw68%73%73%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals65%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals63%71%71%
Both teams to score: no57%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes43%49%49%
Under 1.5 goals37%29%29%
2 – Instituto win36%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Over 2.5 goals35%45%45%
1 – Union de Santa Fe win32%47% · Elo 40%47%· Elo 40%
X – draw32%27% · Elo 31%27%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals16%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Union de Santa Fe attack vs Instituto defenceattack1593defence1513+80 pts to the attack
Instituto attack vs Union de Santa Fe defenceattack1500defence1466+34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Instituto: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Instituto concede only 0.4 goals per game
  • Union de Santa Fe: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Instituto: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Instituto1282219:1026
11Union de Santa Fe1241717:2113
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Union de Santa Fe vs Instituto?

Union de Santa Fe 3-2 Instituto (half time 1-1).

Did the Union de Santa Fe vs Instituto tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.