Primera LPFMatchday 7

Union de Santa Fe 4-1 Sarmiento Junin: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz
Referee:
Pablo Echavarria

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won67%

referee Pablo Echavarria averages 4.0 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloUnion de Santa Fe157549%43%Draw29%30%Sarmiento Junin158122%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%49%O2.542%47%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sarmiento Junin1:3Union de Santa FeW
  2. Sarmiento Junin1:0Union de Santa FeL
  3. Union de Santa Fe0:2Sarmiento JuninL
  4. Union de Santa Fe1:0Sarmiento JuninW
  5. Sarmiento Junin3:4Union de Santa FeW
Union de Santa Fe's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.7over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 67%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 3
RefereeP. Echavarria−1.0 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.6
Union de Santa Fe : Sarmiento Junin
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-013%2-010%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%0-08%2-110%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-013%1-012%2-02-010%2-010%0-00-010%0-08%2-12-19%2-110%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%79%79%
12 – no draw71%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals69%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals58%53%53%
Both teams to score: no53%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%47%47%
1 – Union de Santa Fe win49%53% · Elo 43%53%· Elo 43%
Both teams to score: yes47%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals42%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals31%28%28%
X – draw29%25% · Elo 30%25%· Elo 30%
2 – Sarmiento Junin win22%21% · Elo 27%21%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals21%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Union de Santa Fe attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1584defence1446+138 pts to the attack
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Union de Santa Fe defenceattack1459defence1469−10 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sarmiento Junin: 4 wins in a row
  • Union de Santa Fe: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sarmiento Junin: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Union de Santa FeClausura, Group A1241717:2113
4Sarmiento JuninClausura, Group B1161420:1719
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Union de Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin?

Union de Santa Fe 4-1 Sarmiento Junin (half time 1-0).

Did the Union de Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.