Primera LPFMatchday 4
Atl. Tucuman 1-2 Sarmiento Junin: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, San Miguel de Tucuman
- Referee:
- Leandro Rey Hilfer
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost64%
Atl. Tucuman: clean sheets in each of their last 4 league matches
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost36%
Atl. Tucuman: clean sheets in each of their last 4 league matches
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%45%O2.536%41%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sarmiento Junin2:1Atl. TucumanL
- Sarmiento Junin2:2Atl. TucumanD
- Atl. Tucuman5:0Sarmiento JuninW
- Atl. Tucuman1:0Sarmiento JuninW
- Sarmiento Junin4:1Atl. TucumanL
Atl. Tucuman's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.6under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 17
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.1under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 2
RefereeL. Rey Hilfer−0.1 cards vs average16 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.7total 2.1Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Atl. Tucuman : Sarmiento JuninMost likely scores
Market1-016%1-113%0-013%2-011%2-18%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-010%2-010%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-014%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-013%0-010%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%67% | 67% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 64%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 60%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Atl. Tucuman win | 51%50% · Elo 46% | 50%· Elo 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40%45% | 45% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 30% | 28%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Sarmiento Junin win | 19%23% · Elo 24% | 23%· Elo 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Atl. Tucuman attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1507defence1438+69 pts to the attack
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Atl. Tucuman defenceattack1434defence1470−36 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Atl. Tucuman: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Atl. Tucuman concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Atl. Tucuman score only 0.7 goals per game
- Atl. Tucuman: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sarmiento Junin: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
Atl. Tucuman 1-2 Sarmiento Junin (half time 0-0).
Did the Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.