Primera LPFMatchday 10
Union de Santa Fe 1-2 Independiente: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz
- Referee:
- Luis Lobo Medina
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost63%
under 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches); 4.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.9 in the visitors', league average 5.1
Other tips
- Corners: Over 8.5Lost57%
9.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 8.7; over 8.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%52%O2.539%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Independiente4:4Union de Santa FeD
- Independiente3:0Union de Santa FeL
- Union de Santa Fe3:0IndependienteW
- Union de Santa Fe0:1IndependienteL
- Independiente1:0Union de Santa FeL
Union de Santa Fe's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 8.7over 8.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 6
RefereeL. Lobo Medina−0.1 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.0total 2.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Union de Santa Fe : IndependienteMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-012%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-08%0-18%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-011%0-00-012%0-08%0-10-110%0-18%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 81%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Union de Santa Fe win | 38%45% · Elo 35% | 45%· Elo 35% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 31%27% · Elo 31% | 27%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Independiente win | 31%29% · Elo 34% | 29%· Elo 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Union de Santa Fe attack vs Independiente defenceattack1595defence1531+64 pts to the attack
Independiente attack vs Union de Santa Fe defenceattack1535defence1455+80 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Independiente matches average 11.4 corners (league 8.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Union de Santa Fe: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Independiente: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 11 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente?
Union de Santa Fe 1-2 Independiente (half time 0-0).
Did the Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.