Primera LPFMatchday 4
Tigre 1-0 River Plate: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Andres Gariano
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won70%
under 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (66% of league matches); River Plate: no goal in their last 3 league matches
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Won65%
referee Andres Gariano averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 5.1
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Won42%
River Plate: no goal in their last 3 league matches; under 1.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (39% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%45%O2.530%38%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- River Plate1:4TigreW
- River Plate3:1TigreL
- Tigre0:1River PlateL
- Tigre1:1River PlateD
- River Plate2:3TigreW
Tigre's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.6under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 5
RefereeA. Gariano−1.1 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.1total 1.9Attack/defence1.2 : 1.0total 2.2
Tigre : River PlateMost likely scores
Market0-016%0-115%1-114%1-011%0-29%2-1—2-0—Attack/defence0-011%0-111%1-114%1-012%0-2—2-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-016%0-011%0-10-115%0-111%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-011%1-012%0-20-29%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 87%82% | 82% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 74%62% | 62% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 70%62% | 62% |
| 12 – no draw | 67%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: no | 62%55% | 55% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 59%68% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58%65% | 65% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 42%35% | 35% |
| 2 – River Plate win | 41%32% · Elo 33% | 32%· Elo 33% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38%45% | 45% |
| X – draw | 33%30% · Elo 31% | 30%· Elo 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30%38% | 38% |
| 1 – Tigre win | 26%38% · Elo 36% | 38%· Elo 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Tigre attack vs River Plate defenceattack1516defence1561−45 pts to the attack
River Plate attack vs Tigre defenceattack1616defence1560+56 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Tigre: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- River Plate: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Tigre score only 0.6 goals per game
- River Plate: 4 defeats in a row
- River Plate: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 20 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Tigre: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Tigre: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- River Plate: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | River Plate | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 12 | Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:13 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Tigre vs River Plate?
Tigre 1-0 River Plate (half time 0-0).
Did the Tigre vs River Plate tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.