Primera LPFMatchday 6

Velez Sarsfield 1-0 River Plate: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Dario Herrera

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won63%

our numbers: 4.9 cards against a league average of 5.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won47%

under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 5 (42% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%O2.535%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Velez Sarsfield0:0River PlateD
  2. River Plate4:1Velez SarsfieldL
  3. River Plate1:1Velez SarsfieldD
  4. Velez Sarsfield2:2River PlateD
  5. Velez Sarsfield2:2River PlateD
Velez Sarsfield's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.3league 8.2under 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 8.3 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 4
RefereeD. Herrera−1.0 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Velez Sarsfield : River Plate
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-114%1-013%0-013%0-112%2-17%2-07%
Attack/defence1-11-114%1-01-013%0-00-013%0-10-112%2-12-17%2-02-07%
Attack vs defence
Velez Sarsfield attack vs River Plate defenceattack1521defence1550−29 pts to the attack
River Plate attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1615defence1518+97 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Velez Sarsfield: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • River Plate: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • River Plate: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Velez Sarsfield: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • River Plate: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Velez SarsfieldClausura, Group A1256117:1321
9River PlateClausura, Group B1151514:1216
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate?

Velez Sarsfield 1-0 River Plate (half time 1-0).

Did the Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.