Primera LPFMatchday 6
River Plate 2-2 Velez Sarsfield: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Dario Herrera
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost64%
under 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (67% of league matches)
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost36%
under 1.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (38% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%45%O2.536%41%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Velez Sarsfield1:0River PlateL
- Velez Sarsfield0:0River PlateD
- River Plate4:1Velez SarsfieldW
- River Plate1:1Velez SarsfieldD
- Velez Sarsfield2:2River PlateD
River Plate's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.7over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.5league 5.1under 5.5: 53%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 39%.won · ended 3
RefereeD. Herrera+0.8 cards vs average19 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.6total 2.1Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.3
River Plate : Velez SarsfieldMost likely scores
Market1-017%2-013%0-013%1-112%2-18%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%2-011%0-010%1-113%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-017%1-014%2-02-013%2-011%0-00-013%0-010%1-11-112%1-113%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 85%78% | 78% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%68% | 68% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 64%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 63%55% | 55% |
| 1 – River Plate win | 58%51% · Elo 43% | 51%· Elo 43% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37%45% | 45% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%32% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 30% | 27%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
| 2 – Velez Sarsfield win | 15%22% · Elo 27% | 22%· Elo 27% |
Attack vs defence
River Plate attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1612defence1526+86 pts to the attack
Velez Sarsfield attack vs River Plate defenceattack1523defence1571−48 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- River Plate: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Velez Sarsfield: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- River Plate: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- River Plate: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Velez Sarsfield: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | River PlateClausura, Group B | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Velez SarsfieldClausura, Group A | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield?
River Plate 2-2 Velez Sarsfield (half time 2-0).
Did the River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.