Primera LPFMatchday 5

River Plate 2-0 Argentinos Jrs: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Facundo Tello

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoWon58%

River Plate: no goal in their last 4 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRiver Plate171249%40%Draw29%31%Argentinos Jrs169421%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%45%O2.537%39%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Argentinos Jrs1:0River PlateL
  2. Argentinos Jrs1:0River PlateL
  3. River Plate2:1Argentinos JrsW
  4. Argentinos Jrs0:3River PlateW
  5. River Plate3:0Argentinos JrsW
River Plate's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.6under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.1under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Tello−0.4 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.8total 2.2Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
River Plate : Argentinos Jrs
Most likely scores
Market1-015%1-113%0-012%2-011%0-1—2-19%Attack/defence1-013%1-113%0-011%2-09%0-110%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-012%0-011%2-02-011%2-09%0-10-1—0-110%2-12-19%2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals83%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%73%73%
12 – no draw70%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals65%66%66%
Under 2.5 goals63%61%61%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no58%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%56%56%
1 – River Plate win49%44% · Elo 40%44%· Elo 40%
Both teams to score: yes42%45%45%
Over 2.5 goals37%39%39%
Under 1.5 goals35%34%34%
X – draw29%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
2 – Argentinos Jrs win21%27% · Elo 30%27%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals17%19%19%
Attack vs defence
River Plate attack vs Argentinos Jrs defenceattack1607defence1591+16 pts to the attack
Argentinos Jrs attack vs River Plate defenceattack1573defence1566+7 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Argentinos Jrs matches average 6.8 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • River Plate: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • River Plate: 5 defeats in a row
  • Argentinos Jrs: 4 wins in a row
  • River Plate: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Argentinos Jrs: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • River Plate: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Argentinos Jrs: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Argentinos Jrs1264216:1122
9River Plate1151514:1216
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of River Plate vs Argentinos Jrs?

River Plate 2-0 Argentinos Jrs (half time 1-0).

Did the River Plate vs Argentinos Jrs tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip won.