BundesligaMatchday 6

Ried 1-1 Salzburg: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
BWT Oberösterreichische Arena, Ried im Innkreis
Referee:
Julian Schnur

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: SalzburgLost65%

Salzburg: won 4 of their last 5 league matches; 3 league wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost65%

    our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

  • Cards: Under 4.5Lost64%

    under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRied153716%17%Draw20%24%Salzburg177765%59%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%59%O2.565%58%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Salzburg4:1RiedL
  2. Ried2:2SalzburgD
  3. Salzburg2:0RiedL
  4. Ried0:3SalzburgL
  5. Ried2:2SalzburgD
Ried's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 6
RefereeJ. Schnurfirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.3total 3.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.8total 3.0
Ried : Salzburg
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-210%0-29%0-18%1-37%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-28%0-18%1-3—2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%1-21-210%1-210%0-20-29%0-28%0-10-18%0-18%1-31-37%1-3—2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat85%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals85%81%81%
12 – no draw81%76%76%
Our tip: 2 – Salzburg win65%51% · Elo 59%51%· Elo 59%
Over 2.5 goals65%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes59%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals57%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals43%36%36%
Both teams to score: no41%41%41%
1X – home team avoid defeat36%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals35%42%42%
X – draw20%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
1 – Ried win16%25% · Elo 17%25%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals15%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Ried attack vs Salzburg defenceattack1468defence1581−113 pts to the attack
Salzburg attack vs Ried defenceattack1636defence1423+213 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Salzburg matches average only 2.7 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Ried: 12 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Salzburg: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Salzburg853018:418
6Ried832313:1311
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ried vs Salzburg?

Ried 1-1 Salzburg (half time 0-0).

Did the Ried vs Salzburg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Salzburg. The tip lost.