BundesligaMatchday 3

Sturm Graz 1-0 Altach: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Merkur Arena, Graz (attendance: 14,715)
Referee:
Florian Jager

The match in numbers

1X2EloSturm Graz172959%66%Draw23%21%Altach149218%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%50%O2.556%51%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sturm Graz2:0AltachW
  2. Altach0:2Sturm GrazW
  3. Altach1:1Sturm GrazD
  4. Sturm Graz2:1AltachW
  5. Sturm Graz1:0AltachW
Sturm Graz's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 19
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 2
RefereeF. Jager+0.7 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7
Sturm Graz : Altach
Most likely scores
Market1-010%1-111%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-06%Attack/defence1-012%1-111%2-011%2-110%0-07%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-010%1-012%1-11-111%1-111%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-07%3-03-06%3-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%83%83%
Over 1.5 goals80%75%75%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals66%71%71%
1 – Sturm Graz win59%59% · Elo 66%59%· Elo 66%
Over 2.5 goals56%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes55%50%50%
Both teams to score: no45%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals44%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals34%29%29%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 21%23%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals20%25%25%
2 – Altach win18%18% · Elo 13%18%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Sturm Graz attack vs Altach defenceattack1612defence1490+122 pts to the attack
Altach attack vs Sturm Graz defenceattack1400defence1571−171 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sturm Graz: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sturm Graz: unbeaten in 15 matches
  • Sturm Graz: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Altach: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sturm Graz842210:914
11Altach82068:126
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Altach?

Sturm Graz 1-0 Altach (half time 0-0).