BundesligaMatchday 6

Tirol 2-2 Hartberg: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Referee:
Achim Untergasser

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

3.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.2 in the visitors', league average 4.1; under 4.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (58% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won43%

under 3.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (41% of league matches); 3.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.2 in the visitors', league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTirol148249%32%Draw26%29%Hartberg158725%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%55%O2.552%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hartberg2:1TirolL
  2. Tirol4:2HartbergW
  3. Hartberg3:2TirolL
  4. Tirol1:3HartbergL
  5. Tirol0:0HartbergD
Tirol's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 19
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 0
RefereeA. Untergasser+1.2 cards vs average2 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Tirol : Hartberg
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-010%2-09%0-1—1-2—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%2-19%1-010%2-07%0-18%1-28%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-010%1-010%2-02-09%2-07%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-2—1-28%0-00-07%0-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%68%68%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals70%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes55%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals52%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%58%58%
1 – Tirol win49%42% · Elo 32%42%· Elo 32%
Under 2.5 goals48%50%50%
Both teams to score: no45%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals30%28%28%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
2 – Hartberg win25%32% · Elo 39%32%· Elo 39%
Under 1.5 goals23%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Tirol attack vs Hartberg defenceattack1459defence1475−16 pts to the attack
Hartberg attack vs Tirol defenceattack1439defence14390 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hartberg matches average only 2.6 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Hartberg matches average 11.7 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Tirol: 11 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hartberg: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Hartberg832314:1611
8Tirol822410:148
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tirol vs Hartberg?

Tirol 2-2 Hartberg (half time 0-2).

Did the Tirol vs Hartberg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.