Challenger Pro LeagueMatchday 8
KRC Genk vs NXT: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%O2.563%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- KRC Genk0:0NXTD
- NXT1:2KRC GenkW
- NXT3:0KRC GenkL
- KRC Genk1:2NXTL
- NXT2:1KRC GenkL
KRC Genk's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.7total 3.3Attack/defence1.7 : 1.6total 3.3
KRC Genk : NXTMost likely scores
Model1-19%2-18%1-28%2-27%0-17%1-0—2-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%0-1—1-06%2-06%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-17%0-1—1-01-0—1-06%2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 79%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%58% | 58% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%65% | 65% |
| 2 – NXT win | 41%35% · Elo 38% | 35%· Elo 38% |
| 1 – KRC Genk win | 38%42% · Elo 35% | 42%· Elo 35% |
| X – draw | 21%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
Attack vs defence
KRC Genk attack vs NXT defenceattack1485defence1436+49 pts to the attack
NXT attack vs KRC Genk defenceattack1474defence1399+75 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- KRC Genk concede 2.0 goals per game
- KRC Genk: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- KRC Genk: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- NXT: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | NXT | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 11 | KRC Genk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win KRC Genk vs NXT?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: KRC Genk win 38%, draw 21%, NXT win 41%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in KRC Genk vs NXT?
Expected goals: 3.3 (KRC Genk 1.7, NXT 1.7). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is KRC Genk vs NXT?
The Challenger Pro League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).