Challenger Pro LeagueMatchday 8
Liege vs Maasmechelen: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.556%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Maasmechelen1:1LiegeD
- Liege0:2MaasmechelenL
- Liege2:2MaasmechelenD
- Maasmechelen2:0LiegeL
- Liege1:0MaasmechelenW
Liege's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.4total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
Liege : MaasmechelenMost likely scores
Model1-111%0-110%1-09%1-29%2-18%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%0-18%1-07%1-29%2-18%2-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%0-10-110%0-18%1-01-09%1-07%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Maasmechelen win | 40%39% · Elo 39% | 39%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Liege win | 36%36% · Elo 35% | 36%· Elo 35% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
Attack vs defence
Liege attack vs Maasmechelen defenceattack1504defence1558−54 pts to the attack
Maasmechelen attack vs Liege defenceattack1506defence1450+56 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Liege concede 2.0 goals per game
- Maasmechelen matches average 5.3 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Liege: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Liege matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Maasmechelen matches average only 7.4 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Maasmechelen: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Liege: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Maasmechelen: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Maasmechelen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 13 | Liege | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liege vs Maasmechelen?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Liege win 36%, draw 24%, Maasmechelen win 40%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Liege vs Maasmechelen?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Liege 1.3, Maasmechelen 1.4). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Liege vs Maasmechelen?
The Challenger Pro League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 18:15 (UK time).