Pro LeagueMatchday 5

Lommel SK 0-1 Club Brugge: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Referee:
Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost74%

our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Won58%

    referee Simon Bourdeaud'hui averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLommel SK149610%7%Draw14%12%Club Brugge198076%81%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%60%O2.574%62%|exp. goals 1.1 : 2.0not both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.1under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.9under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 3
RefereeS. Bourdeaud'hui−0.8 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.9total 3.9Attack/defence1.1 : 2.0total 3.2
Lommel SK : Club Brugge
Most likely scores
Market1-29%1-16%0-29%0-1—0-38%1-38%Attack/defence1-210%1-110%0-29%0-18%0-36%1-37%
MarketAttack/defence1-21-29%1-210%1-11-16%1-110%0-20-29%0-29%0-10-1—0-18%0-30-38%0-36%1-31-38%1-37%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat90%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals90%83%83%
12 – no draw86%78%78%
2 – Club Brugge win76%58% · Elo 81%58%· Elo 81%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals74%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes59%60%60%
Over 3.5 goals54%39%39%
Under 3.5 goals46%61%61%
Both teams to score: no41%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals26%38%38%
1X – home team avoid defeat24%42%42%
X – draw14%22% · Elo 12%22%· Elo 12%
1 – Lommel SK win10%20% · Elo 7%20%· Elo 7%
Under 1.5 goals10%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Lommel SK attack vs Club Brugge defenceattack1444defence1615−171 pts to the attack
Club Brugge attack vs Lommel SK defenceattack1710defence1448+262 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Club Brugge score 2.7 goals per game
  • Club Brugge concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Lommel SK: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lommel SK: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Club Brugge: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Club Brugge870119:421
10Lommel SK83239:911
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

Lommel SK 0-1 Club Brugge (half time 0-1).

Did the Lommel SK vs Club Brugge tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.