Pro LeagueMatchday 5

St Truiden 4-0 RAAL La Louviere: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Staaien, Sint- Truiden
Referee:
Bert Verbeke

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won59%

referee Bert Verbeke averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost38%

referee Bert Verbeke averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt Truiden168561%67%Draw22%20%RAAL La Louviere148417%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.556%55%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. RAAL La Louviere1:2St TruidenW
  2. St Truiden2:1RAAL La LouviereW
St Truiden's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 17
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.9under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 3
RefereeB. Verbeke−1.1 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 0.9total 2.9Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
St Truiden : RAAL La Louviere
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-011%1-010%2-110%3-07%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-010%1-010%2-110%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-02-011%2-010%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-07%3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat83%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals80%78%78%
12 – no draw78%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals66%67%67%
1 – St Truiden win61%57% · Elo 67%57%· Elo 67%
Over 2.5 goals56%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes53%54%54%
Both teams to score: no47%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals44%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals34%33%33%
X – draw22%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals20%22%22%
2 – RAAL La Louviere win17%20% · Elo 13%20%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
St Truiden attack vs RAAL La Louviere defenceattack1557defence1457+100 pts to the attack
RAAL La Louviere attack vs St Truiden defenceattack1400defence1521−121 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • RAAL La Louviere concede 2.1 goals per game
  • RAAL La Louviere: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • St Truiden played 3 days ago
  • RAAL La Louviere: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12St Truiden822415:168
16RAAL La Louviere81168:184
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St Truiden vs RAAL La Louviere?

St Truiden 4-0 RAAL La Louviere (half time 1-0).

Did the St Truiden vs RAAL La Louviere tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.