Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 10

Bahia 1-2 Palmeiras: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Referee:
Lucas Casagrande

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%O2.547%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bahia1:0PalmeirasW
  2. Palmeiras0:1BahiaW
  3. Bahia1:2PalmeirasL
  4. Palmeiras2:0BahiaL
  5. Palmeiras1:0BahiaL
Bahia's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.2under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.0under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 6
RefereeL. Casagrande−1.7 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Bahia : Palmeiras
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%0-08%2-18%
Attack/defence1-11-113%0-10-110%1-01-09%1-21-28%0-00-08%2-12-18%
Attack vs defence
Bahia attack vs Palmeiras defenceattack1503defence1616−113 pts to the attack
Palmeiras attack vs Bahia defenceattack1616defence1495+121 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Palmeiras: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Palmeiras: 4 wins in a row
  • Palmeiras: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Palmeiras played 3 days ago
  • Bahia: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Palmeiras30189352:2263
5Bahia301310744:3649
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bahia vs Palmeiras?

Bahia 1-2 Palmeiras (half time 0-1).