Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 17

Cruzeiro 2-1 Chapecoense-SC: prediction, tips and result

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Cruzeiro
2-01-01-32-11-1
2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Chapecoense-SC
2-31-11-21-21-4
Stadium:
Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte
Referee:
Flavio Rodrigues de Souza

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost62%

8.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.7 in the visitors', league average 10.1; under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%O2.553%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Chapecoense-SC1:1CruzeiroD
  2. Cruzeiro1:2Chapecoense-SCL
  3. Cruzeiro3:0Chapecoense-SCW
  4. Chapecoense-SC2:0CruzeiroL
  5. Chapecoense-SC1:2CruzeiroW
Cruzeiro's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.1under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.9league 5.2over 5.5: 52%Expected cards: 5.9 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 38%.lost · ended 4
RefereeF. Rodrigues de Souza+2.5 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence2.0 : 0.8total 2.8
Cruzeiro : Chapecoense-SC
Most likely scores
Attack/defence2-012%1-012%1-110%2-110%3-08%0-07%
Attack/defence2-02-012%1-01-012%1-11-110%2-12-110%3-03-08%0-00-07%
Attack vs defence
Cruzeiro attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1503defence1374+129 pts to the attack
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1417defence1560−143 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chapecoense-SC concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Chapecoense-SC score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Chapecoense-SC: no win in 14 matches
  • Chapecoense-SC: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 9 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Chapecoense-SC score a lot late on: 7 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Chapecoense-SC: newly promoted
  • Cruzeiro: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Chapecoense-SC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Cruzeiro

Chapecoense-SC

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Cruzeiro301461046:4448
20Chapecoense-SC29391730:6118
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC?

Cruzeiro 2-1 Chapecoense-SC (half time 1-0).

Did the Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.

See also