Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 12

Cruzeiro 2-0 Gremio: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte
Referee:
Raphael Claus

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won61%

9.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.2 in the visitors', league average 10.2; under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (64% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Lost65%

    our numbers: 4.8 cards against a league average of 5.1

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won49%

9.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.2 in the visitors', league average 10.2; under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (39% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%O2.546%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gremio0:1CruzeiroW
  2. Cruzeiro4:1GremioW
  3. Cruzeiro1:1GremioD
  4. Gremio0:2CruzeiroW
  5. Gremio3:0CruzeiroL
Cruzeiro's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.2under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 7
RefereeR. Claus−1.2 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.5
Cruzeiro : Gremio
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-19%0-08%0-17%
Attack/defence1-11-112%1-01-012%2-02-010%2-12-19%0-00-08%0-10-17%
Attack vs defence
Cruzeiro attack vs Gremio defenceattack1502defence1484+18 pts to the attack
Gremio attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1511defence1550−39 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cruzeiro: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Cruzeiro: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Gremio: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Cruzeiro301461046:4448
18Gremio307101332:4031
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?

Cruzeiro 2-0 Gremio (half time 0-0).

Did the Cruzeiro vs Gremio tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.