Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 19

Fluminense 1-1 Bragantino: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

The match in numbers

1X2EloFluminense176552%51%Draw27%26%Bragantino168121%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%49%O2.546%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bragantino4:2FluminenseL
  2. Fluminense2:1BragantinoW
  3. Bragantino0:1FluminenseW
  4. Fluminense2:2BragantinoD
  5. Bragantino1:0FluminenseL
Fluminense's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards5.9league 5.2over 5.5: 53%Expected cards: 5.9 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 35%.won · ended 9
RefereeD. de Oliveira Lacerda+2.1 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.9total 2.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.5
Fluminense : Bragantino
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-19%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-012%1-012%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals76%75%75%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals72%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals54%54%54%
1 – Fluminense win52%52% · Elo 51%52%· Elo 51%
Both teams to score: no51%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes49%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat48%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals46%46%46%
Under 1.5 goals28%28%28%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals24%25%25%
2 – Bragantino win21%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
Fluminense attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1525defence1512+13 pts to the attack
Bragantino attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1514defence1574−60 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bragantino: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Fluminense: 47 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bragantino: 47 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Fluminense30149748:3751
9Bragantino301171238:3540
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Fluminense vs Bragantino?

Fluminense 1-1 Bragantino (half time 0-1).