Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 17

Mirassol 1-0 Fluminense: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol
Referee:
Savio Pereira Sampaio

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.547%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Fluminense1:0MirassolL
  2. Mirassol2:1FluminenseW
Mirassol's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.5league 5.2under 5.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.lost · ended 6
RefereeS. Pereira Sampaio+0.7 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Mirassol : Fluminense
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-19%0-08%2-08%
Attack/defence1-11-113%1-01-011%2-12-19%0-10-19%0-00-08%2-02-08%
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1517defence1566−49 pts to the attack
Fluminense attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1529defence1489+40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mirassol: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mirassol: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Fluminense: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Fluminense30149748:3751
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mirassol vs Fluminense?

Mirassol 1-0 Fluminense (half time 1-0).