Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 13

Sao Paulo 1-0 Mirassol: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Referee:
Raphael Claus

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%O2.548%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Mirassol3:0Sao PauloL
  2. Sao Paulo0:2MirassolL
Sao Paulo's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.0over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 3
RefereeR. Claus−0.4 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Sao Paulo : Mirassol
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%
Attack/defence1-11-113%1-01-011%2-12-19%2-02-09%0-00-08%0-10-18%
Attack vs defence
Sao Paulo attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1503defence1497+6 pts to the attack
Mirassol attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1533defence1529+4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mirassol: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sao Paulo: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Mirassol: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Sao Paulo301161335:3539
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Mirassol?

Sao Paulo 1-0 Mirassol (half time 0-0).