Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 11

Mirassol 1-2 Bahia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol
Referee:
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.550%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Mirassol5:1BahiaW
  2. Bahia1:1MirassolD
Mirassol's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.0under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 7
RefereeP. Cesar Zanovelli da Silva−0.7 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.7
Mirassol : Bahia
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
Attack/defence1-11-112%1-01-011%2-12-110%2-02-09%0-00-07%0-10-17%
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Bahia defenceattack1531defence1494+37 pts to the attack
Bahia attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1504defence1506−2 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mirassol: 5 defeats in a row
  • Mirassol: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mirassol: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bahia: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Bahia301310744:3649
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mirassol vs Bahia?

Mirassol 1-2 Bahia (half time 1-0).