Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 10

Mirassol 0-1 Bragantino: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol
Referee:
Flavio Rodrigues de Souza

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 5.5Won58%

our numbers: 6.2 cards against a league average of 5.0; 5.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 6.6 in the visitors', league average 5.0

For the brave
Cards: Over 6.5Won43%

our numbers: 6.2 cards against a league average of 5.0; 5.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 6.6 in the visitors', league average 5.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%O2.550%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Mirassol1:1BragantinoD
  2. Bragantino1:0MirassolL
Mirassol's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards6.2league 5.0over 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 6.2 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end over 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 7
RefereeF. Rodrigues de Souza+5.9 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Mirassol : Bragantino
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-17%
Attack/defence1-11-112%1-01-011%2-02-010%2-12-110%0-00-07%0-10-17%
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1538defence1488+50 pts to the attack
Bragantino attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1471defence1510−39 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mirassol: 4 defeats in a row
  • Mirassol: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Bragantino played 3 days ago
  • Mirassol: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Bragantino301171238:3540
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mirassol vs Bragantino?

Mirassol 0-1 Bragantino (half time 0-0).

Did the Mirassol vs Bragantino tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 5.5. The tip won.