Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 14

Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol
Referee:
Matheus Delgado Candancan

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost59%

referee Matheus Delgado Candancan averages 2.3 cards a match, league average 5.0; our numbers: 4.2 cards against a league average of 5.0

Other tips

  • Corners: Over 9.5Lost58%

    11.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.6 in the visitors', league average 10.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%O2.544%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Corinthians3:0MirassolL
  2. Mirassol2:1CorinthiansW
Mirassol's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0over 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.2league 5.0under 5.5: 75%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.lost · ended 8
RefereeM. Delgado Candancan−4.6 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.4
Mirassol : Corinthians
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-18%
Attack/defence1-01-013%1-11-113%2-02-010%2-12-19%0-00-09%0-10-18%
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1526defence1535−9 pts to the attack
Corinthians attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1436defence1501−65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Corinthians: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Corinthians score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Mirassol: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mirassol: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Corinthians: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Mirassol30891334:4433
16Corinthians30881431:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mirassol vs Corinthians?

Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians (half time 2-0).

Did the Mirassol vs Corinthians tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.