Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 16

Atletico-MG 3-1 Mirassol: prediction, tips and result

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Atletico-MG
0-10-20-43-11-1
3-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Mirassol
1-12-10-12-11-2
Stadium:
Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte
Referee:
Lucas Casagrande

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.548%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Atletico-MG1:0MirassolW
  2. Mirassol2:2Atletico-MGD
Atletico-MG's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.1under 5.5: 61%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 1
RefereeL. Casagrande−0.8 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Atletico-MG : Mirassol
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%
Attack/defence1-11-113%1-01-011%2-12-19%2-02-09%0-00-08%0-10-18%
Attack vs defence
Atletico-MG attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1501defence1496+5 pts to the attack
Mirassol attack vs Atletico-MG defenceattack1521defence1517+4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mirassol: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mirassol concede a lot late on: 8 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Atletico-MG: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mirassol: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Atletico-MG

Mirassol

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Atletico-MG30138941:3547
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Mirassol?

Atletico-MG 3-1 Mirassol (half time 1-1).

See also