Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 17

Gremio 3-2 Santos: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre (attendance: 37,385)
Referee:
Bruno Arleu de Araujo

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost62%

8.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%O2.548%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Santos1:1GremioD
  2. Gremio1:0SantosW
  3. Santos2:1GremioL
  4. Gremio1:0SantosW
  5. Santos1:0GremioL
Gremio's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.1under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards5.6league 5.2under 5.5: 52%Expected cards: 5.6 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 4
RefereeB. Arleu de Araujo+1.2 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Gremio : Santos
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-17%
Attack/defence1-11-112%1-01-011%2-12-19%2-02-09%0-00-08%0-10-17%
Attack vs defence
Gremio attack vs Santos defenceattack1480defence1469+11 pts to the attack
Santos attack vs Gremio defenceattack1473defence1494−21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Gremio: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Gremio score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Gremio matches average only 8.0 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Gremio: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Santos: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Santos301191046:4542
18Gremio307101332:4031
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gremio vs Santos?

Gremio 3-2 Santos (half time 1-1).

Did the Gremio vs Santos tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.