Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 18

Santos 3-1 Vitoria: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Referee:
Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost64%

referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 5.2; our numbers: 4.8 cards against a league average of 5.2

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won60%

    9.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.9 in the visitors', league average 10.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost48%

referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 5.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%O2.549%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Santos0:1VitoriaL
  2. Vitoria0:1SantosW
  3. Vitoria0:1SantosW
  4. Santos5:2VitoriaW
  5. Santos2:2VitoriaD
Santos's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.2under 5.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.lost · ended 8
RefereeR. Rodrigo Klein−1.4 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Santos : Vitoria
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%
Attack/defence1-11-112%1-01-011%2-12-110%2-02-010%0-00-08%0-10-17%
Attack vs defence
Santos attack vs Vitoria defenceattack1480defence1455+25 pts to the attack
Vitoria attack vs Santos defenceattack1427defence1465−38 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Santos301191046:4542
12Vitoria301061433:4436
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Santos vs Vitoria?

Santos 3-1 Vitoria (half time 1-0).

Did the Santos vs Vitoria tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.