Beijing Guoan 1-1 Liaoning Tieren: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Workers Stadium, Beijing
Referee:
Lei Zhang

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won60%

under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost42%

under 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (35% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.568%|exp. goals 2.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Liaoning Tieren2:1Beijing GuoanL
Beijing Guoan's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.3under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
RefereeL. Zhang−0.3 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence2.5 : 1.0total 3.5
Beijing Guoan : Liaoning Tieren
Most likely scores
Attack/defence2-110%2-09%1-18%3-18%3-08%1-07%
Attack/defence2-12-110%2-02-09%1-11-18%3-13-18%3-03-08%1-01-07%
Attack vs defence
Beijing Guoan attack vs Liaoning Tieren defenceattack1635defence1409+226 pts to the attack
Liaoning Tieren attack vs Beijing Guoan defenceattack1423defence1543−120 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Liaoning Tieren: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Liaoning Tieren score a lot late on: 11 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Liaoning Tieren: newly promoted
  • Beijing Guoan: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Liaoning Tieren: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Beijing Guoan271210552:3341
14Liaoning Tieren27751535:4826
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren?

Beijing Guoan 1-1 Liaoning Tieren (half time 1-0).

Did the Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.