Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 22

Henan Songshan Longmen 0-0 Qingdao West Coast: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 9 August · 12:00

Henan Songshan Longmen

1-2 1-2 5-1 2-1 1-1

0-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Qingdao West Coast

2-0 1-0 1-1 0-3 2-1

Stadium:: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Referee:: Kai He

Our tips

Main tip

Corners: Under 10.5Won60%

8.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.2

Other tips

Cards: Under 4.5Won64%
our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.2

For the brave

Corners: Under 9.5Won48%

8.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.2; under 9.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHenan Songshan Longmen130561%47%Draw22%27%Qingdao West Coast127417%26%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%49%O2.557%45%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

22/04/202622/04/26Qingdao West Coast0:0Henan Songshan LongmenD
02/08/202502/08/25Qingdao West Coast2:1Henan Songshan LongmenL
01/04/202501/04/25Henan Songshan Longmen2:3Qingdao West CoastL
25/06/202425/06/24Henan Songshan Longmen1:0Qingdao West CoastW
01/03/202401/03/24Qingdao West Coast1:1Henan Songshan LongmenD

Henan Songshan Longmen's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9

Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4

RefereeK. He−1.4 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5

Henan Songshan Longmen : Qingdao West Coast

Most likely scores

Market1-111%1-010%2-010%2-110%0-0—0-1—3-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-18%3-0—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-010%1-012%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-0—0-09%0-10-1—0-18%3-03-07%3-0—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat	83%76%	76%
Over 1.5 goals	80%71%	71%
12 – no draw	78%73%	73%
Under 3.5 goals	65%76%	76%
1 – Henan Songshan Longmen win	61%50% · Elo 47%	50%· Elo 47%
Over 2.5 goals	57%45%	45%
Both teams to score: yes	54%49%	49%
Both teams to score: no	46%52%	52%
Under 2.5 goals	43%55%	55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	39%50%	50%
Over 3.5 goals	35%24%	24%
X – draw	22%27% · Elo 27%	27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals	20%29%	29%
2 – Qingdao West Coast win	17%24% · Elo 26%	24%· Elo 26%

Attack vs defence

Henan Songshan Longmen attack vs Qingdao West Coast defenceattack1484defence1515−31 pts to the attack

Qingdao West Coast attack vs Henan Songshan Longmen defenceattack1414defence1557−143 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Qingdao West Coast: 20 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Qingdao West Coast concede a lot late on: 11 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Henan Songshan Longmen: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Qingdao West Coast: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form